Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
Vélez Sarsfield vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
3 - 2
ARG
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
2 - 1
JUN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1994 |
CEN
3 - 1
VEL
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
JUN
2 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
1 - 1
DCM
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BOT
4 - 0
SAO
38%
30%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1994 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAO
46%
30%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAO
24%
33%
43%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
SAO
2 - 1
OLI
55%
25%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |