Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
INS
2 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 1
PLA
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
TIG
3 - 0
VEL
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 3
EST
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
GLP
0 - 2
SLO
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SLO
1 - 0
TAL
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
TIG
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
SLO
49%
28%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |