Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
VEL
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
GOD
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 3
VEL
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
PPE
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 2
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SLO
4 - 2
BEL
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SLO
1 - 0
BOC
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |