Vélez Sarsfield vs Real Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 2
TIG
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GOD
0 - 2
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
VEL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 2
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
DPA
1 - 1
RPI
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 1
CES
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 1
RPI
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 1
JUU
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
RPI
0 - 4
COL
2%
5%
93%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | -1 |