Vélez Sarsfield vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
SBA
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
OLI
33%
30%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
PAT
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
RAF
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAF
3 - 1
PAT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 2
BAN
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |