Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 4
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 3
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 3
BEL
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
GLP
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 1
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |