Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
VEL
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOB
2 - 2
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 1
NOB
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 2
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
IND
4 - 0
NOB
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NOB
3 - 3
HUR
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |