Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 6-4
Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
VEL
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 4
VEL
38%
29%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 3
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 2
LIG
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ARG
1 - 1
NOB
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 4
VEL
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 0
STR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
INS
1 - 2
NOB
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |