Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 1
ARS
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
EST
0 - 2
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
INS
1 - 0
VEL
19%
27%
55%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 1
ARG
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 0
GLP
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 3
NOB
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 2
NOB
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |