Vélez Sarsfield vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
VEL
1 - 1
BEL
56%
26%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1994 |
SLO
3 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARG
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
GLP
3 - 1
VEL
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1994 |
FER
1 - 6
VEL
30%
31%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
USF
1 - 3
ACM
33%
28%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1994 |
RBS
0 - 1
ACM
34%
29%
37%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
ACM
0 - 2
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
52%
26%
22%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAR
51%
27%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |