Vélez Sarsfield vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 5
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 1
EME
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AUC
0 - 2
LIG
39%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LIG
4 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |