Vélez Sarsfield vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
GOD
3 - 0
VEL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
TIG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAU
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 2
ALE
13%
25%
62%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
ITU
52%
27%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALE
23%
28%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |