Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RAF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAU
62%
24%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IND
1 - 3
NOB
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
TIG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IND
0 - 3
BOC
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
IND
0 - 2
RIV
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |