Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
HUR
1 - 2
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GLP
2 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 1
BOC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 0
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
IND
1 - 1
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |