Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 4
TAL
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
VEL
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 2
VEL
23%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 3
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
COR
2 - 1
IND
74%
16%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
IND
2 - 0
CRZ
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
IND
0 - 1
RAC
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
NOB
0 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
IND
0 - 1
GLP
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |