Vélez Sarsfield vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
VEL
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
IRV
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 3
IRV
20%
27%
54%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IRV
1 - 0
RAF
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GBR
3 - 2
IRV
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |