Vélez Sarsfield vs Godoy Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 5
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
RAC
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Godoy Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
GOD
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GOD
0 - 0
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
5 - 0
GOD
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOD
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |