Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 1
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALD
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
3 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CCS
1 - 1
GLP
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GLP
1 - 0
GOD
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 0
GLP
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
GLP
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GLP
1 - 1
CEN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |