Vélez Sarsfield vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 1
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 0
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RAC
3 - 2
VEL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
FEN
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FEN
1 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FEN
2 - 1
VEL
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
ONC
3 - 0
FEN
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FEN
2 - 2
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |