Vélez Sarsfield vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.2%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
12%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
17.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
20.5%
2-0
19.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
9.1%
1.7%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 0
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 2
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
VEL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
YUP
0 - 1
ESP
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
ESP
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
MID
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
CLA
4 - 2
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |