Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 7-1
Vélez Sarsfield vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 2
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAT
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GLP
2 - 2
VEL
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 1
HUR
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAL
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
4 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 0
ENV
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |