Vélez Sarsfield vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 0
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
VEL
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 0
DYJ
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
DYJ
0 - 0
SMA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 0
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BAN
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
DYJ
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |