Vélez Sarsfield vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 1
GLP
63%
23%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 3
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 2
CEN
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
VEL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRZ
4 - 2
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CRZ
7 - 0
RPO
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 0
CRZ
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
RPO
1 - 1
CRZ
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CRZ
6 - 0
UBE
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |