Vélez Sarsfield vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 0
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
VEL
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 2
SFE
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOC
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 1
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
BOC
38%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |