Vélez Sarsfield vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
1 - 2
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NOB
2 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 2
RAC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
OLI
1 - 0
VEL
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NOB
0 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
RAC
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 0
CHA
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CHA
2 - 0
GLP
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LAN
0 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |