Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 3
CEN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
BOC
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |