Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
OLI
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 2
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARS
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CEN
0 - 0
BAN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NOB
2 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CEN
0 - 3
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |