Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
BEL
0 - 2
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
IND
2 - 2
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 4
BOC
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
TAL
2 - 1
RIV
19%
28%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 1
HUR
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |