Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
COL
1 - 0
VEL
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ARG
1 - 2
VEL
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
SPC
0 - 1
VEL
29%
29%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
TIG
1 - 3
RIV
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1980 |
CHA
0 - 2
RIV
9%
16%
75%
|
84 | 9 | 75 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1980 |
SPC
1 - 2
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |