Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
25%
29%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
VEL
5 - 1
LAN
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
FER
0 - 0
VEL
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VEL
4 - 3
PLA
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
HUR
2 - 2
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
BOC
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BOC
4 - 1
ARG
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
COL
1 - 0
BOC
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
BOC
0 - 6
GLP
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |