Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Vélez Sarsfield vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOC
2 - 1
VEL
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
VEL
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
COL
0 - 1
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 0
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |