Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
VEL
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 0
VEL
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
CDN
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALD
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALD
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
BEL
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 2
RIV
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |