Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 3
VEL
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
LAN
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARG
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLO
49%
28%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 2
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |