Vélez Sarsfield vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 3
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SBA
1 - 2
EXC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
JJU
3 - 2
SBA
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
CAD
2 - 1
SBA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SBA
0 - 0
BER
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SBA
1 - 0
CAÑ
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |