Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Vélez Sarsfield vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALD
63%
23%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GLP
0 - 0
VEL
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
TAL
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
VEL
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
AUC
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 3
LIG
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 0
AUC
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AUC
1 - 0
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 2
AUC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -2 |