Vélez Sarsfield vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
VEL
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 4
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 0
GLP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 3
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |