Vélez Sarsfield vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
VEL
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 1
BAN
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLO
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARS
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ARS
0 - 5
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |