Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-0
Vélez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
VEL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
ALB
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 1
VEL
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
BAN
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARG
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
3 - 1
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
NOB
52%
27%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |