Valdevez vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdevez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAV
0 - 3
MOR
23%
24%
53%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAV
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | -4 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 0
CIN
18%
24%
59%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +4 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GON
3 - 0
GFC
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
GFC
0 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GFC
3 - 2
SAN
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 1
GFC
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GFC
0 - 0
SCF
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |