CA Tubarão vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUB
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
JEC
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAR
73%
19%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 3
NOV
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |