CA Tubarão vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
TUB
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 1
BLU
40%
23%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
TUB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 4
TUB
15%
22%
62%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
BLU
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
MET
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NES
3 - 2
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |