CA Tubarão vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ATP
5 - 4
TUB
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUB
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 1
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
TUB
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
TUB
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
CRI
16%
22%
61%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 2
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
7%
18%
76%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +1 |