Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-3
CA Tubarão vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TUB
2 - 1
BRU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CIA
0 - 3
TUB
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
TUB
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
38%
29%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ECS
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 1
ECS
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ECS
2 - 1
PRU
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |