CA Tubarão vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
72.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MET
0 - 0
TUB
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
LIT
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
TUB
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
INT
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |