CA Tubarão vs Carlos Renaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TUB
1 - 1
MET
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
TUB
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 1
BLU
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
TUB
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CRA
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SCA
4 - 1
CRA
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 1
SCA
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
CFC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 0
CRA
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |