Catarinense 3 Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-2
CA Tubarão vs Blumenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
TUB
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 4
TUB
15%
22%
62%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 1
BLU
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
TUB
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Blumenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
TUB
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BLU
2 - 1
IMB
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
BLU
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 1
BLU
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BLU
2 - 2
IMB
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |