Tigre vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 1
LAN
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
TIG
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 0
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 1
ARG
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
TIG
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 3
SAO
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
5 - 1
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |