Tigre vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
ALB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
EST
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 1
TIG
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
BEL
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 0
TIG
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 2
EST
78%
16%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 3
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
61%
23%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GOD
1 - 1
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |