Tigre vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 2
TIG
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 3
VEL
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
SMA
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
TIG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GOD
0 - 2
RAF
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 2
BEL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
RAF
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |