San Juan de Aragón vs Deportiva Venados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+698%
+3552%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
10º
4
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
5 | 24 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 23 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 23 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
5% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 74 | 56 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
IPC
15%
22%
64%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 1
TCS
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
19%
10%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |